Consider the decision tree we constructed for IDEA in Session 1 of week 4. Assume that all of the data used in the example remain the same except for the probability of the market remaining weak or strong. Suppose that, instead of a 0.5 chance that the market is strong, the probability that the market is strong is now 0.6.

Consider the decision tree we constructed for IDEA in Session 1 of week 4. Assume that all of the data used in the example remain the same except for the probability of the market remaining weak or strong. Suppose that, instead of a 0.5 chance that the market is strong, the probability that the market is strong is now 0.6.

Given the probability that the market is strong is 0.6, what is IDEA’s expected-value-maximizing decision?